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A110ANCEAC100CMSCOVID-19COVID-19.Clusters as a Mechanisms of Governance Discrete Structural AlternativeD210D230D240D330D43Digital economyDynaCont-IIEconomic Policy KnotsFamily Violence against Women in Modern RussiaH110K130K21K23K32L11L190L290L310L41L51Market Development and Political EconomyModeling of Development Indicators for Russian Energy Resources MarketsN700O19O330O340O43Opening Address of the Editor-in-ChiefQ330Q51Q55Q56Q57Q58Relevant Aspects of Determination of Efficiency and Effectiveness of Marketing DepartmentSQLScientific Research of Faculty of Economics. Electronic Journal. 2020. Volume 12.Scientific Research of Faculty of Economics. Electronic Journal. 2021.Volume 13Scientific researches of faculty of economics. Electronic journal.Site newsSpecific of Mergers and Acquisitions in Russian Federation. Management ApproachUTFagri-food exportantitrust policyartificial intelligencebig databrand position-ingbrand valueclustercompany’s strategycompetition policyconscious consumptiondmoeconomic growtheconomic theoryeffectivenessefficiencyenvironmental economicsethical consumptionexchange rateexport restrictionsfamily violencefiscal policygendergeneration Ygeneration Z.hybridinflationinstitutional arrangementslabor marketmachine learningmarket concentration.market developmentmarketing budgetmonetary policynational economic modelpolitical economyprojectsquotationregulationregulatory impact assessmentsocio-demographic characteristicstariff regulationtaxi services marketантимонопольная политикаинтеллектуальный капиталискусственный интеллектмашинное обучениеметодологияполитическая экономияцифровая экономика20092010

Oksana V. Kuchmaeva, Natalia M. Kalmykova, Anton V. Kolotusha Mortality Rate Differentiation in Russia in 2019-2020: COVID-19 Pandemic and Other Factors

DOI: 10.38050/2078-3809-2021-13-4-34-64

Abstract

The aim of the work is to find the factors that caused the differences in the change in the mortality rate in the regions caused by the pandemic. Using the data of official statistics and the results of regionally representative data of sample socio-demographic surveys of Rosstat, the authors attempt to achieve the goal by methods of both demographic and statistical analysis. The analysis showed that a significant part of the variation of regions in terms of mortality growth is explained by the characteristics of the demographic structure of the region (a high proportion of elderly people in the region, a large household size, the proportion of people with cancer in the region), as well as high population density and frequency of social contacts (especially in large cities). It was noteworthy that there was no significant impact on the regional differentiation of mortality from the availability of medical services and the scale of health infrastructure, which apparently indicates that in 2020 the probability of dying from COVID-19 or concomitant complications did not depend much on the actions of doctors and the equipment of hospitals. The paper also highlights the problem of imperfection of the research information base in terms of the selection of objective indicators and methods for analyzing the contribution of the COVID-19 epidemic to the level and dynamics of mortality.

Keywords: COVID-19, morbidity, mortality, health, primary component analysis, regional differentiation.

JEL: I15, J11, O15.

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